Hurricane Paloma

Forecast Advisory 7

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019
WTNT22 KNHC 070846
TCMAT2
HURRICANE PALOMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
0900 UTC FRI NOV 07 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

INTERESTS IN CUBA AND JAMAICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
PALOMA. WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE NECESSARY FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA
LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 81.7W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 30SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 81.7W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 81.8W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.6N 81.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.5N 81.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 85NE 85SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.4N 80.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.1N 79.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 125SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.0N 76.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 125SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 25.0N 73.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 27.0N 70.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 81.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN