Hurricane Paloma

Forecast Advisory 10

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 080236
TCMAT2
HURRICANE PALOMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
0300 UTC SAT NOV 08 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
SANCTI SPIRITUS... CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY AND LAS TUNAS. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
CUBAN PROVINCE OF GRANMA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 80.9W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 80.9W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 81.1W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.8N 80.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.5N 79.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.2N 78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.7N 77.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.4N 76.2W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 23.0N 76.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 23.5N 76.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 80.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART