Tropical Depression Sixteen

Forecast Advisory 3

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880
WTNT25 KNHC 150248
TCMAT5
HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
0300 UTC WED OCT 15 2008

AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.

AT 11 PM AST...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ST.
MARTIN/MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS...BY THEIR
RESPECTIVE GOVERNMENTS.

AT 11 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND MONTSERRAT.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO. A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 68.1W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 80SE 40SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 68.1W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 68.3W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.1N 67.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 15NW.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 50SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.7N 65.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.1N 63.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 75SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.9N 61.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 75SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 27.0N 58.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 75SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 33.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 41.0N 44.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 68.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN





713
WTNT21 KNHC 150257
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008
0300 UTC WED OCT 15 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS
FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITION ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 HOURS ALONG THE NORTHERN
COAST OF HONDURAS WEST OF THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF LIMON WESTWARD TO
THE GUATEMALA BORDER. A TROPICAL WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR
SOUTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE BORDER WITH GUATEMALA. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 83.8W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 83.8W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 83.6W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.3N 84.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.3N 85.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.2N 87.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.0N 88.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.5N 91.0W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 83.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER RHOME