Hurricane Bill

Forecast Advisory 14

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943
WTNT23 KNHC 182046
TCMAT3
HURRICANE BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009
2100 UTC TUE AUG 18 2009

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
BILL.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 52.2W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 225SE 150SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 52.2W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 51.7W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.5N 54.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.9N 56.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.7N 59.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 22.6N 61.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 65SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 105SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 27.3N 65.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 65SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 105SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 33.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 40.5N 65.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 52.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/CANGIALOSI