Hurricane Ida

Forecast Advisory 1

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 041456
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
1500 UTC WED NOV 04 2009

AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF SAN ANDRES AND
PROVIDENCIA.

AT 10 AM...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 82.0W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 82.0W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 81.9W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 11.9N 82.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 35NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 12.5N 83.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.0N 83.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.5N 84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 14.5N 84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 15.5N 85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 18.0N 85.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 82.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

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FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN