Hurricane Ida

Forecast Advisory 3

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 050231
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
0300 UTC THU NOV 05 2009

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA
FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE EASTERN
COAST OF NICARAGUA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

AT 10 PM EST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF SAN
ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 83.1W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT....... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 83.1W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 82.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 12.9N 83.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.5N 84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.3N 84.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.1N 84.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.0N 85.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 19.5N 85.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 21.5N 86.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 83.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS