Hurricane Alex

Forecast Advisory 10

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 280233
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
0300 UTC MON JUN 28 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 91.3W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 20SE 20SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 20SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 91.3W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 91.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.1N 92.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.0N 92.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT...160NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.9N 93.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT...180NE 80SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.6N 94.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 110SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.5N 96.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...225NE 125SE 60SW 125NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 24.3N 98.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 25.0N 101.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 91.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

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FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN