Tropical Storm Colin

Forecast Advisory 4

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 030831
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM COLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010
0900 UTC TUE AUG 03 2010

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF COLIN.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 47.2W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 47.2W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 46.2W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 15.1N 50.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 16.8N 54.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.6N 58.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.6N 61.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.5N 66.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 28.0N 68.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 31.0N 69.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 47.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH