Tropical Storm Colin

Forecast Advisory 15

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 071440
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM COLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010
1500 UTC SAT AUG 07 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 66.4W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 110SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 66.4W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 66.5W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.7N 66.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 33.0N 65.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 35.5N 64.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 39.0N 60.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 46.5N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 55.0N 41.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N 66.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

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FORECASTER AVILA