Tropical Storm Colin

Forecast Advisory 18



000
WTNT24 KNHC 080836
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM COLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010
0900 UTC SUN AUG 08 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 65.6W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 65.6W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 65.7W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 31.7N 65.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.4N 65.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 36.0N 64.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 38.9N 61.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 45SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 46.0N 52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 90SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.7N 65.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN