Tropical Storm Fiona

Forecast Advisory 3



000
WTNT23 KNHC 310852
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082010
0900 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF FIONA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA TOMORROW MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 53.0W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 53.0W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 51.8W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.5N 55.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.8N 59.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.6N 61.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 21.8N 64.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 26.5N 67.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 29.0N 68.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 30.5N 69.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 53.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BLAKE




000
WTNT22 KNHC 310853
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
0900 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EARL.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 66.7W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 931 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT.......175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 170SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 66.7W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 66.3W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.4N 68.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.3N 70.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.5N 72.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 25SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 28.0N 73.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 33.5N 74.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 40.0N 69.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 48.0N 60.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 66.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN