Tropical Depression Five

Forecast Advisory 4

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 111442
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052010
1500 UTC WED AUG 11 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN AND NEW ORLEANS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 86.8W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 86.8W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 86.4W

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.6N 88.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.6N 89.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.4N 90.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.2N 90.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.6N 89.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 34.0N 87.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N 86.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/CANGIALOSI