Tropical Storm Gaston

Forecast Advisory 5



000
WTNT23 KNHC 021436
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082010
1500 UTC THU SEP 02 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE ISLAND OF BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 65.8W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 65.8W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 65.4W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.4N 66.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.9N 66.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 31.3N 65.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 33.8N 64.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 37.9N 61.4W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 65.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH




000
WTNT24 KNHC 021437
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092010
1500 UTC THU SEP 02 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 38.9W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 38.9W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 38.6W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.1N 39.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.3N 40.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.5N 42.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.7N 43.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.0N 46.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 15.5N 51.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 16.0N 56.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 38.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH




000
WTNT22 KNHC 021455
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1500 UTC THU SEP 02 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF MASSACHUSETTS
FROM WESTPORT EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL INCLUDING
MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT
TO WEST OF WESTPORT...INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.
* WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL INCLUDING
MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
DELAWARE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.
* THE EASTERN PORTION OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET
TO PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR.
* NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS...
INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF HULL MASSACHUSETTS TO EASTPORT MAINE.
* THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND TO MEDWAY HARBOUR.
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET AND PORT
JEFFERSON HARBOR.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 74.8W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 932 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 300SW 320NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 74.8W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 74.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.5N 75.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.5N 73.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 40.0N 70.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 44.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 53.5N 62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 74.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA