Hurricane Igor

Forecast Advisory 3

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 090248
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
0300 UTC THU SEP 09 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO...SAO TIAGO...
FOGO...AND BRAVA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 24.6W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 45SE 45SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 45SE 45SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 24.6W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 24.3W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 14.3N 25.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 45SE 45SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.1N 27.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.8N 30.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.4N 33.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.0N 39.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 18.0N 43.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 19.5N 47.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 24.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/STEWART