Hurricane Igor

Forecast Advisory 5



000
WTNT21 KNHC 091430
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
1500 UTC THU SEP 09 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO...SAO TIAGO...
FOGO...AND BRAVA

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 24.8W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 45SE 15SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 24.8W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 24.5W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.0N 26.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.8N 29.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.4N 32.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.7N 35.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.3N 40.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 18.5N 44.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 20.0N 48.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 24.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN