Hurricane Igor
Forecast Advisory 19
000
WTNT22 KNHC 122034
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
2100 UTC SUN SEP 12 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO..SAO TIAGO...
FOGO...AND BRAVA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 22.8W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 22.8W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 22.3W
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 13.7N 24.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 14.6N 27.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.6N 29.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 85NE 60SE 45SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.9N 30.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...105NE 75SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.4N 34.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
34 KT...115NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 24.0N 39.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 27.1N 45.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 22.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTNT21 KNHC 122037
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
2100 UTC SUN SEP 12 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 46.9W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE 90SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 30SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 46.9W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 46.3W
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.8N 48.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.1N 50.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.7N 52.6W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE 130SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.4N 54.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE 130SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 21.3N 57.1W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE 130SW 160NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 23.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 25.8N 62.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 46.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN
