Hurricane Julia

Forecast Advisory 25



000
WTNT23 KNHC 180829
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132010
0900 UTC SAT SEP 18 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 97.6W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 97.6W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 97.4W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTNT22 KNHC 180830
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122010
0900 UTC SAT SEP 18 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 50.1W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 50.1W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 49.7W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 29.5N 51.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 32.3N 52.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 34.5N 51.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 36.0N 49.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 39.5N 44.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...ABSORBED BY IGOR

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 50.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTNT21 KNHC 180830
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IGOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
0900 UTC SAT SEP 18 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 62.8W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 939 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
50 KT.......155NE 110SE 130SW 130NW.
34 KT.......300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 540SE 480SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 62.8W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 62.5W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 26.2N 64.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
50 KT...155NE 110SE 130SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 27.8N 65.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
50 KT...155NE 120SE 130SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 200SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 29.9N 65.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
50 KT...155NE 130SE 120SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 230SE 210SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 32.2N 64.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...155NE 140SE 120SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 210SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 38.5N 58.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...140NE 130SE 120SW 110NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 270SW 250NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 47.5N 46.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 51.5N 39.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N 62.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN