Hurricane Lisa

Forecast Advisory 11

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 231433
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010
1500 UTC THU SEP 23 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 28.9W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 28.9W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 28.9W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.4N 29.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.2N 29.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.0N 30.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 20.8N 31.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 22.0N 32.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 24.2N 35.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 26.5N 37.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 28.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART