Tropical Storm Matthew

Forecast Advisory 2



000
WTNT25 KNHC 232035
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010
2100 UTC THU SEP 23 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA TO LIMON HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE
OFFSHORE ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA TO LIMON HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE
OFFSHORE ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 76.9W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 76.9W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 76.2W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.4N 78.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.1N 81.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.6N 84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.2N 85.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 55SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.1N 88.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
34 KT... 85NE 75SE 45SW 85NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.3N 88.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.5N 87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 76.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT24 KNHC 232035
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010
2100 UTC THU SEP 23 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 28.6W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 28.6W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 28.6W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.5N 28.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 19.0N 28.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.5N 29.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.0N 30.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 24.0N 32.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 26.0N 34.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 28.5N 36.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 28.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA