Tropical Storm Matthew

Forecast Advisory 9



000
WTNT25 KNHC 251443
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010
1500 UTC SAT SEP 25 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING EAST OF PUNTA SAL ON THE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA SAL WESTWARD...INCLUDING THE
OFFSHORE ISLANDS
* THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF BELIZE NORTH OF BELIZE CITY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
25 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF
GUATEMALA TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 87.8W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 87.8W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 87.3W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.5N 89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.0N 90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.5N 91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.5N 91.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 87.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT24 KNHC 251443
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010
1500 UTC SAT SEP 25 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 28.2W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 28.2W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 28.1W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.9N 28.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.3N 28.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 26.6N 28.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 27.9N 29.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 30.1N 29.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 32.0N 30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 28.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART