Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 4

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 070235
TCMAT2
SUBTROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010
0300 UTC THU OCT 07 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 68.2W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 45SE 45SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 30SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 68.2W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 68.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 23.9N 68.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 45SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.7N 66.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 30SE 20SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 26.0N 64.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 35SE 15SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT...105NE 120SE 110SW 85NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 27.8N 61.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 55SW 35NW.
34 KT... 95NE 135SE 115SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 32.0N 52.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 55SE 45SW 20NW.
34 KT... 95NE 130SE 110SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 37.0N 38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 42.0N 27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 68.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

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FORECASTER BERG