Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 5

---

000
WTNT22 KNHC 070841
TCMAT2
SUBTROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010
0900 UTC THU OCT 07 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 68.2W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 45SE 45SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 60SE 90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 68.2W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 68.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.0N 67.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 45SE 45SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 25.1N 66.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 26.8N 63.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 35NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 110SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 28.8N 59.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 75SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 33.5N 48.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 75SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 38.5N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 41.0N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N 68.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE