Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 11



000
WTNT22 KNHC 082037
TCMAT2
HURRICANE OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010
2100 UTC FRI OCT 08 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 62.3W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 25SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 60SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 170SE 80SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 360SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 62.3W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 63.1W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 28.7N 59.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 30SE 25SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 50SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 90SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 31.3N 54.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 35SE 25SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 120SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 34.3N 48.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 35SE 25SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 150SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 38.2N 40.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 220SE 180SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 42.0N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 45SE 45SW 0NW.
34 KT...135NE 160SE 160SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 41.0N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 39.0N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N 62.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN