Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 12



000
WTNT22 KNHC 090232
TCMAT2
HURRICANE OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010
0300 UTC SAT OCT 09 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 60.8W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 25SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 60SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 170SE 70SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 60.8W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 61.7W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 29.7N 57.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 30SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 90SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 32.6N 51.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 35SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 120SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 36.1N 44.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 35SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 150SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 40.0N 36.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 220SE 180SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 43.0N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 160SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 43.0N 23.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 40.0N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N 60.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART