Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 15

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 092031
TCMAT2
HURRICANE OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010
2100 UTC SAT OCT 09 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 52.6W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 28 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 30SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 70SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 190SE 45SW 65NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 480SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 52.6W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 54.0W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 34.7N 47.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 70SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 38.0N 40.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 70SE 50SW 25NW.
34 KT...120NE 170SE 90SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 41.3N 33.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 60SE 45SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 43.4N 29.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 145SE 115SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 43.0N 25.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 130SE 85SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 39.0N 24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 37.0N 22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.4N 52.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

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FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN