Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 16

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 100231
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010
0300 UTC SUN OCT 10 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 48.7W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 33 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 70SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 190SE 45SW 65NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 480SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 48.7W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 50.4W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 36.3N 43.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 39.7N 36.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 170SE 90SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 42.0N 31.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 43.5N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 42.0N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 130SE 90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 39.0N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 37.0N 21.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N 48.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

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FORECASTER STEWART