Hurricane Paula
Forecast Advisory 8
000
WTNT23 KNHC 130835
TCMAT3
HURRICANE PAULA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182010
0900 UTC WED OCT 13 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA ALLEN NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE...
INCLUDING COZUMEL
* THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO CUBA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE TO SAN FELIPE
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 86.0W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 45SE 30SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 86.0W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 86.0W
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 21.5N 85.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 22.3N 85.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 23.0N 83.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 23.2N 82.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 22.9N 80.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 22.0N 79.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 86.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
