Hurricane Richard

Forecast Advisory 10



000
WTNT24 KNHC 230844
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM RICHARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010
0900 UTC SAT OCT 23 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HONDURAS FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON AND
THE BAY ISLANDS
* EAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA GRUESA TO CHETUMAL

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HONDURAS FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER...AND THE BAY ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BELIZE

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RICHARD.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 83.2W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 83.2W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 82.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.0N 84.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.3N 85.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 30SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.6N 87.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...105NE 70SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.0N 89.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.8N 91.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 19.5N 93.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 21.0N 94.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 83.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN