Hurricane Tomas
Forecast Advisory 4
000
WTNT25 KNHC 300835
TCMAT5
HURRICANE SHARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202010
0900 UTC SAT OCT 30 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 59.4W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 30 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 0NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 75SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 60SE 45SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 59.4W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 60.9W
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 35.7N 54.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 38.5N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 180SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 59.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
000
WTNT21 KNHC 300847
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
0900 UTC SAT OCT 30 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
* GRENADA
* DOMINICA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 59.5W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 45SE 45SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 75SE 45SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 59.5W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 58.9W
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 13.5N 61.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 60SW 105NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 14.1N 63.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 55NE 40SE 35SW 55NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 70SW 115NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 14.6N 65.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...125NE 85SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.1N 68.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...125NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.5N 71.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 55SE 55SW 65NW.
34 KT...125NE 105SE 105SW 125NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 16.0N 73.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 16.5N 74.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 59.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
