Hurricane Tomas
Forecast Advisory 29
000
WTNT21 KNHC 050831
TCMAT1
HURRICANE TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
0900 UTC FRI NOV 05 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI
BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 74.9W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 20NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 35SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 74.9W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 75.2W
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.8N 73.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 45SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.1N 72.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 24.4N 70.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.8N 69.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.5N 67.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 28.5N 65.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 28.5N 63.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 74.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH
