Hurricane Tomas

Forecast Advisory 32

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 060232
TCMAT1
HURRICANE TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
0300 UTC SAT NOV 06 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN COAST FROM
THE HAITI BORDER EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER
EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12
HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 72.8W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 10NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 105SE 60SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 45SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 72.8W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 73.1W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.4N 71.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 105SE 60SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.9N 70.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE 75SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.7N 70.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 25.0N 68.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 105SE 75SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 26.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 26.0N 63.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 72.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS