Hurricane Tomas

Forecast Advisory 36



000
WTNT21 KNHC 062340
TCMAT1
HURRICANE TOMAS SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
0000 UTC SUN NOV 07 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 69.7W AT 07/0000Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 85NE 85SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 69.7W AT 07/0000Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 70.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.7N 69.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 26.0N 68.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 26.0N 67.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 26.5N 64.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 28.5N 59.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 31.5N 55.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 69.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BROWN