Hurricane Tomas

Forecast Advisory 37



000
WTNT21 KNHC 070230
TCMAT1
HURRICANE TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
0300 UTC SUN NOV 07 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 69.6W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 85NE 85SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 69.6W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 69.7W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 25.8N 69.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 26.1N 68.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 26.5N 66.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 27.4N 63.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 31.0N 57.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 69.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN