Tropical Storm Arlene

Forecast Advisory 3

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 290834
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012011
0900 UTC WED JUN 29 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM BARRA DE NAUTLA NORTHWARD TO
BAHIA ALGODONES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 95.0W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 95.0W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 94.6W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.1N 95.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.1N 97.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.0N 98.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 45SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 21.8N 99.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 95.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN