Tropical Storm Emily

Forecast Advisory 7

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277
WTNT25 KNHC 030836
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052011
0900 UTC WED AUG 03 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 68.1W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 68.1W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 67.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.3N 69.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.0N 71.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.7N 73.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.5N 75.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.5N 78.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 30.0N 78.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 33.5N 74.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 68.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH