Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 6



960
WTNT23 KNHC 220242
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011
0300 UTC MON AUG 22 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE
NAUTLA

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 95.0W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 95.0W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 94.3W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.3N 96.2W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.5N 97.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 95.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN




871
WTNT24 KNHC 220249
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
0300 UTC MON AUG 22 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
TO A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA
* THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 65.5W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 15SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......130NE 60SE 30SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 60SE 15SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 65.5W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 65.0W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.6N 67.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 15SW 45NW.
34 KT...130NE 75SE 45SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.4N 70.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 45SE 30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.1N 72.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 45SE 30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.9N 73.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 75SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.5N 77.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 75SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 26.5N 79.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 30.0N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 65.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN