Hurricane Irene
Forecast Advisory 23
922
WTNT25 KNHC 260230
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102011
0300 UTC FRI AUG 26 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 33.1W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 33.1W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 32.8W
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 14.7N 34.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.5N 34.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.4N 35.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.4N 36.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.5N 38.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 20.5N 40.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 21.5N 43.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 33.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
912
WTNT24 KNHC 260253
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
0300 UTC FRI AUG 26 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS EXCEPT FOR GRAND BAHAMA AND THE ABACO
ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE GRAND BAHAMA AND THE ABACO ISLANDS
* THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTHWARD TO
THE VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND
CURRITUCK SOUNDS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE VIRGINIA/NORTH CAROLINA BORDER NORTHWARD TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY...AND CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH
POINT
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW ENGLAND
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 77.3W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 25SW 50NW.
50 KT.......110NE 100SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT.......250NE 200SE 125SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 120SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 77.3W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 77.4W
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 30.0N 77.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 60SE 25SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 125SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 31.8N 77.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 60SE 25SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 125SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 33.7N 77.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 60SE 25SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 125SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 36.0N 76.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 140SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 42.0N 73.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 140SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 51.0N 66.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 58.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.3N 77.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
