Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 31

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067
WTNT24 KNHC 280255
TCMAT4

HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
0300 UTC SUN AUG 28 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO EASTPORT MAINE
* UNITED STATES/CANADA BORDER NORTHEASTWARD TO FORT LAWRENCE
INCLUDING GRAND MANAN
* SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE TO PORTERS LAKE

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
IRENE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 75.4W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT.......110NE 110SE 0SW 35NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE 150SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 420SE 180SW 25NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 75.4W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 75.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 39.8N 74.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT...110NE 110SE 0SW 35NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 44.0N 71.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 150SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 48.5N 67.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...250NE 270SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 52.4N 62.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 200SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 57.7N 48.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 360SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 60.0N 33.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 61.2N 24.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.3N 75.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART