Hurricane Katia

Forecast Advisory 14



000
WTNT22 KNHC 011449
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1500 UTC THU SEP 01 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 47.5W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 90SE 45SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 60SE 60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 47.5W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 46.9W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.1N 49.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 45SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.0N 51.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.0N 53.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 75SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.8N 58.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 45SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 90SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 22.3N 61.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.8N 64.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 47.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/ZELINSKY