Hurricane Katia
Forecast Advisory 19
000
WTNT23 KNHC 022046
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
2100 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 91.5W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 91.5W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 91.5W
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.9N 91.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 28.5N 91.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 29.2N 91.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 29.7N 91.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 190SE 0SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 30.1N 89.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...170NE 190SE 0SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 31.5N 88.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 33.6N 86.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 91.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT22 KNHC 022049
TCMAT2
HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
2100 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 53.5W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 180SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 53.5W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 53.0W
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.0N 54.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.9N 55.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 135SE 75SW 135NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.9N 57.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 135SE 75SW 135NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.9N 58.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 135SE 75SW 135NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 24.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 135SE 90SW 135NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 26.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 27.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 53.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART
