Hurricane Katia

Forecast Advisory 27

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 042047
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
2100 UTC SUN SEP 04 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 60.1W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..290NE 200SE 215SW 290NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 60.1W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 59.7W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.7N 61.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 25.0N 63.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...165NE 135SE 90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.1N 64.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...165NE 135SE 105SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.1N 66.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...165NE 135SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...165NE 150SE 135SW 165NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 31.5N 71.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 34.5N 71.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 60.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTNT23 KNHC 042056
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
2100 UTC SUN SEP 04 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM WEST OF MORGAN
CITY LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING THE
CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 91.8W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 240SE 90SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 335SE 200SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 91.8W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 91.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 30.7N 91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 31.2N 89.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 200SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 32.3N 88.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 33.3N 87.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 34.8N 86.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 36.0N 86.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 91.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART