Hurricane Katia

Forecast Advisory 39

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505
WTNT24 KNHC 072039
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
2100 UTC WED SEP 07 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 44.2W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 44.2W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 43.1W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 13.6N 47.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.5N 51.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.0N 58.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 22.0N 68.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 25.0N 70.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 44.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





321
WTNT22 KNHC 072049
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
2100 UTC WED SEP 07 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR ADDITIONAL STORM INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 69.7W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 320SE 240SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 69.7W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 69.3W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.3N 70.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 33.8N 70.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 36.6N 68.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 39.2N 64.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 44.5N 46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 140SE 100SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 270SE 240SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 53.0N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 60.0N 7.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 69.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN