Hurricane Katia

Forecast Advisory 41

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787
WTNT24 KNHC 080832
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
0900 UTC THU SEP 08 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...
AND SAINT KITTS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 48.2W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 48.2W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 47.2W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 13.8N 51.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.5N 54.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 15.3N 57.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 30SE 30SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.7N 60.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 30SE 30SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.5N 65.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 30SE 30SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 23.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 26.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 48.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





816
WTNT22 KNHC 080834
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
0900 UTC THU SEP 08 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR ADDITIONAL STORM INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 70.2W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
50 KT.......140NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 250SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 70.2W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 70.2W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 33.9N 70.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
50 KT...140NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 36.6N 68.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...140NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 39.2N 64.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 225SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 41.5N 57.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 225SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 48.5N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 200SE 200SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 400SE 450SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 56.0N 19.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 60.0N 5.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N 70.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH





621
WTNT25 KNHC 080843
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
0900 UTC THU SEP 08 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 92.4W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 90SE 120SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 92.4W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 92.4W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.4N 92.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 90SE 120SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.6N 92.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 45SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 90SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.2N 92.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.8N 93.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 22.7N 94.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 23.0N 95.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 23.0N 97.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 92.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH