Hurricane Katia

Forecast Advisory 42

---

152
WTNT24 KNHC 081443
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
1500 UTC THU SEP 08 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
DOMINICA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF CURACAO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ST.MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT KITTS.
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...GUADELOUPE...AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA.
* ST.MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 51.2W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 51.2W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 50.2W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 13.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 13.8N 57.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.5N 67.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 22.5N 72.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 25.0N 75.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 51.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





696
WTNT25 KNHC 081456
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
1500 UTC THU SEP 08 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE
NORTHWEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 92.4W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 145 DEGREES AT 1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 90SE 120SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 92.4W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 92.4W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.4N 92.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 30SE 45SW 0NW.
34 KT... 45NE 90SE 120SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.0N 92.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 45SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 90SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.8N 92.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 22.5N 93.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 23.1N 93.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.6N 94.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 24.0N 95.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 92.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





812
WTNT22 KNHC 081459
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1500 UTC THU SEP 08 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

FOR ADDITIONAL STORM INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 70.1W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 70SE 45SW 70NW.
50 KT.......140NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 240SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 70.1W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 70.2W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 35.6N 69.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...140NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 38.3N 66.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...140NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 40.7N 61.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 225SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 43.2N 53.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 225SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 50.0N 31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 420SE 450SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 59.0N 9.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 62.0N 2.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 70.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN