Tropical Storm Lee

Forecast Advisory 12

---

000
WTNT23 KNHC 041450
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
1500 UTC SUN SEP 04 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 91.9W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......240NE 240SE 90SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 240SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 91.9W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 92.0W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.1N 91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 30.6N 90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 31.4N 88.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 32.6N 87.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 34.5N 86.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 36.5N 86.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 91.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT22 KNHC 041450
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1500 UTC SUN SEP 04 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 59.2W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 75SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 180SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 59.2W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 58.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.9N 60.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.1N 62.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...165NE 120SE 90SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 25.2N 64.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...165NE 120SE 105SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 26.2N 65.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...165NE 135SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.0N 68.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...165NE 150SE 135SW 165NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 30.0N 71.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 33.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 59.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG