Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 10



906
WTNT22 KNHC 090240
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
0300 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 68.8W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 180SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 420SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 68.8W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 69.4W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 38.1N 66.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 40.5N 61.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 42.9N 52.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 46.4N 39.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...110NE 180SE 180SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 300SE 300SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 54.1N 16.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 450SE 450SW 250NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 61.0N 4.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.3N 68.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




537
WTNT25 KNHC 090244
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
0300 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 92.2W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 45NE 50SE 75SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 120SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 92.2W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 92.2W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.0N 92.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 50SE 75SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.5N 92.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.2N 93.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 21.7N 94.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.0N 96.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 21.5N 99.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 92.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART




605
WTNT24 KNHC 090255
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
0300 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT OF CURACAO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT
KITTS
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* THE U. S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND
CULEBRA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 54.6W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 54.6W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 53.7W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 13.5N 57.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.7N 60.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.3N 62.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.8N 65.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 21.0N 69.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 40SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 23.5N 73.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 26.0N 75.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 54.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN