Hurricane Maria
Forecast Advisory 12
486
WTNT22 KNHC 091433
TCMAT2
HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1500 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 65.8W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 25 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 45SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......200NE 220SE 150SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 420SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 65.8W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 67.1W
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 41.1N 60.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 150SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 44.1N 49.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 220SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 47.8N 37.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 240SE 240SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 390SE 390SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 51.5N 26.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 210SE 210SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 420SE 420SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 58.5N 7.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 180SE 180SW 90NW.
34 KT...150NE 360SE 420SW 150NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...EAST OF ZERO DEGREES LONGITUDE
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N 65.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
827
WTNT25 KNHC 091433
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
1500 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM TAMPICO
TO VERACRUZ.
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ AND FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO
* MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 92.6W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 90SE 120SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 92.6W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 92.5W
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.6N 93.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.8N 93.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.9N 94.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.8N 95.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 20.5N 98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 20.0N 101.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 92.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
129
WTNT24 KNHC 091446
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
1500 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND
CULEBRA...HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
DOMINICA WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 57.5W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 45SE 60SW 190NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 57.5W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 57.0W
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.1N 59.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.5N 62.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.9N 64.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.3N 66.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.0N 69.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 40SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 24.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 27.5N 73.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 57.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
