Hurricane Maria
Forecast Advisory 19
222
WTNT24 KNHC 110836
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
0900 UTC SUN SEP 11 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 63.7W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......175NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 60SE 0SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 63.7W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 63.3W
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.5N 66.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.5N 67.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 45SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 23.5N 68.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 45SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 27.0N 70.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 45SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 33.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 43.0N 58.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 63.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
498
WTNT25 KNHC 110836
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
0900 UTC SUN SEP 11 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM
TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AND HAS
DISCONTINUED THE REMAINDER OF THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 95.7W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 65NE 65SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 70SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 95.7W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 95.3W
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 19.8N 96.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 65NE 65SE 40SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.7N 97.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 95.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/AVILA