Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 26



813
WTNT24 KNHC 130231
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
0300 UTC TUE SEP 13 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 67.5W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 175SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 67.5W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 67.4W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 22.3N 68.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 24.0N 68.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 26.3N 69.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 29.3N 68.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 37.5N 64.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 48.5N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 67.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN