Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 39



209
WTNT24 KNHC 160843
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
0900 UTC FRI SEP 16 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO ARNOLDS COVE AND FROM BRIGUS
SOUTH TO CHARLOTTETOWN

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS OR SO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 60.3W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 39 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 350SE 350SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 60.3W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 62.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 46.8N 54.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...255NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 55.0N 48.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...300NE 400SE 460SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z...ABSORBED WITHIN A FRONTAL ZONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.7N 60.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA